[1]徐毅青,唐益群,李献勇,等.改进欧拉算法的GM(1,1)模型预测滑坡变形[J].水文地质工程地质,2011,38(1):110-113.
 XU Yi-qing,TANG Yi-qun,LI Xian-yong,et al.The landslide deformation prediction with improved Euler Method of Gray System Model GM(1,1)[J].Hydrogeology & Engineering Geology,2011,38(1):110-113.
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改进欧拉算法的GM(1,1)模型预测滑坡变形()
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《水文地质工程地质》[ISSN:1000-3665/CN:11-2202/P]

卷:
38卷
期数:
2011年1期
页码:
110-113
栏目:
OA栏目
出版日期:
2011-01-15

文章信息/Info

Title:
The landslide deformation prediction with improved Euler Method of Gray System Model GM(1,1)
作者:
徐毅青;唐益群;李献勇;叶桂明;
浙江树人大学城建学院;同济大学土木工程学院;台州市诸永高速公路建设指挥部;浙江华东勘探工程有限公司;
Author(s):
XU Yi-qing1TANG Yi-qun2LI Xian-yong3YE Gui-ming4
1.Urban Construction College,Zhejiang Shuren University,Hangzhou 310015,China;2.Department of Geotechnical Engineering,Tongji Universityi,Shanghai 200092,China;3.Zhuyong Highway Construction Headquarters of Taizhou,Pan’an 322305,China;4.Zhejiang East China Exploration Project Limited Company,Hangzhou 310028,China
关键词:
改进的GM(11)模型欧拉算法滑坡变形预测
Keywords:
improved GM(11) model Euler Method landslide deformation prediction
分类号:
P642.22
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
在传统的GM(1,1)模型建模的基础上,采用改进欧拉算法简化GM(1,1)模型中参数的求解过程,进行滑坡变形动态预测。本文根据某高速公路滑坡治理过程中的变形监测数据,应用改进的模型进行滑坡变形动态预测,通过预测结果和实际监测数据进行对比分析,结果表明:改进欧拉算法的GM(1,1)模型参数计算简单,且预测精度为一级;不仅适用于滑坡变形等时距监测数据的低增长序列预测,也适用于高增长序列预测,证明该改进欧拉算法的有效性。
Abstract:
Based on study and analysis of conventional grey GM(1,1) model,the Euler Method is improved to solve parameters of GM(1,1) model,which is applied to predict landslide deformation with displacement monitoring data collected in the process of landslide treatment.It has higher precision than conventional grey GM(1,1) model in the deformation of landslide.Taking one high-steep landslide of highway for example to forecast its deformation behavior,the prediction results and monitoring data show that t...

相似文献/References:

[1]姚颖康,张春艳,张坤,等.改进的GM(1,1)模型在滑坡变形预测中的应用[J].水文地质工程地质,2009,36(5):102.
 YAO Ying-kang~,ZHANG Chun-yan~,ZHANG Kun~.Application of improved GM(1,1) models to prediction of landslide deformation[J].Hydrogeology & Engineering Geology,2009,36(1):102.
[2]黄景锐,胡安焱,张焕楚,等.基于非等间距序列GM(1,1)模型的地下水温度预测[J].水文地质工程地质,2013,40(1):48.
 HUANG Jing-rui,HU An-yan,ZHANG Huan-chu,et al.Prediction of shallow groundwater temperature based on GM(1,1) model for nonequidistant sequence[J].Hydrogeology & Engineering Geology,2013,40(1):48.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
基金:“十一·五”国家科技支撑计划(2008BAJ08B14-06);;浙江省自然科学基金资助项目(Y107710)
更新日期/Last Update: 2011-01-15